The Eurovision Song Contest is mostly known for its controversies, memes and mockery. The first dashboard is a powerful tool that visualises each year’s result, all the way back to 1975 up to 2014[2]. Romania in Eurovision: Voting & … Eurovision Voting Patterns: Visualize 40 Years of Data. In ESC, 12 points – affectionately called “Douze Points” – is the highest score any voting country gives out, and the bottom map highlights the countries with the biggest collection of them. And then there are the Germans, who are often among the top 5 of foreigners in Western Europe, but never seem to vote as persistently for their home country in Eurovision as the Former Yugoslavia countries. rte.ie. It then awards 10 sets of points, by drawing up a list of their 10 favourite songs – … Another country with a large diaspora groups is Italy. eurovision_map.html contains an interactive map of Europe. Although statistical analysis of the results from 2001 to 2005 suggests regional bloc voting, it is debatable how much in each case is due to ethnic diaspora voting, a sense of ethnic kinship, political alliances or a tendency for culturally-close countries to have similar musical tastes. Every year, critics flood over the voting at the Eurovision Song Contest. 2016 update: The results from the 2015 contest have been added to the dataset. They are however selectable on the map. To illustrate this, let’s take a look at the Scandinavian countries and the countries from former Yuguslavia. In the Eurovision Song Contest, it is common for countries to give each other 12 Points because of politics and diaspora.. On the map (right), you will see lines between countries who have a history of voting for each other, for example the United Kingdom and Ireland, Cyprus and Greece, and Turkey and Azerbaijan. Note that of the countries with the biggest history in the ESC, France seems to not ‘warm to’ Ireland at all, at least not enough to award them 12 points even once. Table 1: Overview of the voting schemes used during each year of the Eurovision Song Contest and the label category each one is placed in. There is one other notable country who usually gives big points to Russia: Israel (10.50 on average). Posted by 9 months ago. I have created a visual data history of the ESC, and our analysis argues that over time, these alliances and biases have moved eastwards from western and Nordic patterns to Balkan and Russian patterns as the former Eastern bloc countries have been eligible to enter the competition. Each country in Eurovision splits its vote between a professional jury and a public televote. There are many parallels between Eurovision voting and regular election campaigns. Figure 1. Another intriguing country with lots of diaspora population is Switzerland. Likewise, Sweden can always trust its Nordic neighbours for those important high scoring votes. This is mostly due to the similar cultures of most of the former Soviet states. So what’s this about biases? Every year, critics flood over the voting at the Eurovision Song Contest. Select Greece, and you’ll see that its closest neighbours also vote for them. Several countries can be categorised as voting blocs, which regularly award one another high points. The countries in these two blocks vote for each other on a consistent basis. awarded (sequential) 1962 Eurovision Romania. These people can vote from another country for their ‘home’ country in Eurovision, which contributes to these voting patterns. With the Scandinavian countries, there are few guarantees for high points. Well, look at that. For example, in each of the four ESCs between 1962 and 1965 four countries were awarded 0 points. Join our newsletter to receive the latest information and offers, Denormalise a dataset with Talend's tUnpivotRow | Datalytyx. Viewers in Spain, France and Israel will vote in the first Semi-Final. Analysis of patterns … If the song is good, yes, Norway is willing to vote for Sweden. However, there are some differences in the extent to which the countries in the blocks vote for each other. How come? Note that Yugoslavia and Serbia & Montenegro have both competed in the ESC, but don’t exist as countries anymore. This removes highlights in the top left quadrant that are yet to become trends[5], leaving only consistent voting patterns. These extreme cases do not appear in Norway, but they’ve still given 90 out of 96 possible points to Lithuania. The 2019 televoting map perfectly illustrates the influence of the former Soviet Union, with all states part of the former USSR except for Georgia voting for Russia as their number one. In particular, we look at what this means for the UK. There are big lies. This distinction was more prevalent before the existing voting system was introduced[3], and it can be argued that in today’s even more modernised ESC with 25 countries competing in the final and a whopping 37 voting on them, getting 0 points is quite the feat, and the last time this happened was in 2003, to the United Kingdom[4]. To illustrate this voting pattern, let’s see what that top right outlier is all about. These instances are all about countries who are geographically very close to each other. Your email address will not be published. And then there's statistics. Another regression analysis, this time highlighting countries that tend to not vote for certain other countries. While getting a low result – say in the single digits – is not necessarily a sign of a better song, the songs awarded “Nul points” are most likely better remembered. Admittedly, these countries do have an advantage and will never finish with 0 points, but if you want to win, you have to get all countries to vote for you. For example Belgium and the Netherlands, Moldova and Romania, United Kingdom and Ireland, Georgia and Azerbaijan, Sweden and Denmark and Cyprus and Greece. Enough to influence the voting in these countries, because since 2014, of all the instances when the UK could vote for Poland or Lithuania, only once have they not given the 12 points to either Poland or Lithuania. The more positive opposite of this distinction is to be awarded the highest praise. [4] Some countries have been close, like France in 2014 (2 points), Ireland in 2007 and 2013 (both times 5 points). According to many, it’s rather a political display of national alliances. Enhance! Log into your account. So diaspora figures can definitely help, but they are not as straightforward as it may seem. Via RTÉ Brainstorm. Basically all the ex-Soviet states vote for Russia in big numbers. Gatherer D (2004) Birth of a meme: The origin and evolution of collusive voting patterns in the Eurovision Song Contest. All you need to know about Eurovision voting patterns. If we add Bosnia & Herzegovina and North Macedonia (both culturally very similar) to the bunch, the total percentage gets even larger. , leaving only consistent voting patterns. Albeit following the native language rule imposed by the ESC, changed in 1998 to allow any language. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. After all songs have been performed, you can vote for your favourites for ±15 minutes. Denmark dishes out a 7.9 average, and Norway a 7.1 average. The further down we go on the scatterplot, the harder it gets to read, so let’s visualise it. You can only vote in the Semi-Final your country takes part in. With Switzerland voting for Albania, itâs mostly do to the Kosovar diaspora in Switzerland (remember the footballers Xherdan Shakiri and Granit Xhaka? They are the third largest foreigner group in Switzerland, behind Germans and Italians. Cyprus and Greece have given each other 12 points on every possible occasion except for 2015, when Greece awarded Cyprus only 8 points. In Lithuania, the numbers are much lower, but there are still many Lithuanians who speak Russian as a second language. The juicy part is the top right quadrant, and a set was created by picking out a selection where the average points received was over 5, and the total points received was over a 100. This is the overview of the televoting patterns since 2014. When changing the year, the maps and charts update accordingly, displaying the year’s winner in yellow, and the less popular entries in darkening shades of blue. Welcome! Greece and Cyprus are looking after their own (countries selected at random), Italy has some surprising and shy fans in Finland (country selected at random). Besides that, other countries that show up in these graphs, like Italy, Portugal and Romania in the UK, do not show up high up in the televoting results in the UK. Two other very strong voting blocks that deserve to be mentioned are Cyprus and Greece and Moldova and Romania. Here are some notable insight to illustrate what exactly this dashboard shows, Eastern Europe doesn’t appear to be fans of the Spanish entries (country selected at random), Northern Europe doesn’t give much sentiment to the Italian entries (country selected at random). Anyone that has watched at least one ESC has definitely been able to spot the unspoken alliances and regional biases. Years: Voting Scheme: 1956 [2] given to a single favourite (allocated) 1957-1961 \(\sum_{i=1}^{\mathbf{c}-1}c_i = 10\), each single point i.i.d. In contrast, with most of the countries from former Yuguslavia the voting block is much stronger and the song appears to matter a lot less. Once again, itâs the diaspora. The exceptions are San Marino (who only just performed in their first final in 2014) and Morocco, an oddity that hasn’t returned to compete since its one entry in 1980 (scoring only seven points from Italy). Most of the Eurovision voting participants appear to be a fan of Ireland (country selected at random), Russia’s relies on its eastern block neighbours for a favourable outcome (country selected at random). Camberley Most of the countries friendliest to each other in terms of points are neighbouring countries. In fact, it often seems more than a … At first glance, most of these results seem obvious. Interestingly, all three countries have a lot more Polish people than Lithuanian people, but in all three countries Lithuania receives the most points, and not Poland. Perhaps most remarkably, Italy gets points not only from Alpine and Mediterranean neighbours, but also… Finland? The fact that this voting system, ten countries being given 12, 10, and 8 through 1 in order of preference (essentially “giving” 0 to the remaining contestants), has been used for 40 years means that good analysis can be performed on the dataset. The Eurovision song contest has led to speculations of tactical voting, discriminating against some participants and inducing bias in the final results. How people vote in the Eurovision Song Contest may tell us more than just the musical tastes of a nation—according to new research. Some countries have been close, like France in 2014 (2 points), Ireland in 2007 and 2013 (both times 5 points). The Portugese make up an even larger percentage of the foreign population than the aforementioned countries. These simulations are then compared with the real results. Well, let’s look at Russia. Eurovision Song Contest: Regression analysis highlights the voting patterns. Make of that what you want. The analysis of voting patterns over the past two … This scatterplot forms the basis for this dashboard, and will further highlight the rampant voting biases in the ESC. There is no denying that in both cases, there is some block voting going on. The solution was to simply use an inset view and place it over the vast void of Russia. The same is true for Ukraine, Belarus, and Azerbaijan. This Tableau storyboard is available to view freely on Tableau public at the following link: Eurovision Voting History. Statistics / Voting. Journal of Memetics – Evolutionary Models of Information Transmission 8(1). I will be using the data from 2014 up to now, as 2014 was the first year that the detailed televoting voting results became open to the public. However, there are also some robust voting patterns that have no connection to the geographic location of a country. As with the first dashboard, you can click into the voters to see where their 12-pointers have been assigned to further analyse these biases. But today we dive deep into the history of voting in Eurovision. Dr Gatherer uses a computer to generate thousands of random simulations of Eurovision song contest results, using data on all the votes cast since 1975. Just hover over the small dots on the Balkans and you’ll find them (if they competed. However, up to now, we havenât discussed arguably the biggest televoting magnet in Eurovision: Russia. Large parts of the population in these countries are ethnically Russian and even larger parts speak Russian. Many people may not know this, but a lot people emigrated from the USSR to Israel and this trend continued after its collapse. There is the Scandinavian block (Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Iceland) and there is the Yuguslavian block (Slovenia, Serbia, Montenegro, Croatia, North Macedonia). The top map labels the country’s overall position and total points for the competition (“1 | 152”), which is also displayed in the tool tip when hovering over each country. Voting for the Eurovision Song Contest has been scrutinised by statistics experts at UCL and Imperial College London, who have found that musical talent is unlikely to be the only element that wins scores - but that the contest is not 'stitched up' at the UK's expense. Eurovision Voting Patterns: Visualize 40 Years of Data. "The insight into social affinity between nations which this analysis of Eurovision voting patterns provides may be a better predictor of international business … A similar situation is the case with for example the UK and Ireland. Ireland holds the record of most victories in Eurovision Song Contest: Seven victories! Eurovision voting points to more than just musical tastes. Ireland has even awarded Lithuania 12 points every time, except for 2014 Semi Final 2, when the 12 points went to, unsurprisingly, Poland. Eurovision: Maps, Memories and Music, titled appropriately in homage to Ireland’s 2021 entrant Lesley Roy’s ‘Maps’, explored discussions surrounding Eurovision past and present, geographical voting patterns, the role of women, LGBTQ+ community and ethnic minorities in Eurovision past and present. For example in 2014, Slovenia awarded 8 points to Montenegro, even though Montenegro didn’t reiceive any televote points from 32/35 countries. There are exceptions in more westernised countries like Estonia and Latvia, where the countries in the Baltic area can favour them. Besides that, many people from the former Yuguslavia countries live in each others country. For example in 2019, Sweden received 12 points from Norway, but Sweden finished pretty high up in the overall televote standings anyway. However, the success of … There are small lies. The overview at the beginning shows some of the most glaring cases. Any unusual voting patterns can be spotted. The current voting system was set up in 1975. In that year, North Macedonia even awarded the full 12 points to Montenegro. The following ESC in Sweden, 1975, was the first one to introduce the voting system still in use today[1], albeit still relying entirely on nationally appointed juries as opposed to today’s combination of jury and public voting. Eurovision voting patterns. But if it isn’t, they don’t really care. Archived. In Estonia, around 30% of the people speak Russian as their mother tongue. The reasons for this are pretty similar to the situation in former Yuguslavia: many cultural similarities and many people living in each others countries. Except in 2016, when each country cast two separate ballots and only one was announced live on air, because obtuse scoring rules are a Eurovision tradition. In fact, it often seems more than a music contest. You Note the exclusion of the results from the semi-finals in the dataset. Russia, as we saw on the Douze Points dashboard, gets its votes from the neighbours as well. Displaying 20 years of Presidential voting, visualized in one word. These combinations may not be too obvious at first, but by selecting different scenarios over the different dashboards, the map visualisation helps in highlighting some interesting patterns: So, by using a dataset containing the voting data from the past forty years and putting it into a visualisation that is easy to interpret, one can actually see the patterns and trends that some people state exist in the Eurovision Song Contest. Clicking on a country shows the results of their votes in the 2014 eurovision song contest; the … The fact that Albania has received 12 points from Italy the one time Italy could vote for them (the top left circle) is not quite a trend yet. This dashboard lets you drill down to see who gave the performing countries 12 points, but also whom each country has given them to. Required fields are marked *, Base Point Business Centre The Eurovision Song Contest will be broadcast live on SBS and SBS On Demand between May 19 and 23. To answer the question as to why these voting patterns exist, we have to look at a relatively unknown phenomenon in Eurovision voting: diaspora. Likewise, the Nordic countries, including Finland, routinely hand out 12-pointers to each other. The following ESC in Sweden, 1975, was the first one to introduce the voting system still in use today [1], … Keep in mind that this post in about televoting results only and that you might need a map of Europe to remember all the countries. A shocking 11.2 point average really highlights this neighbourly bias, and the circle to its left cements it: Greece gives Cyprus 10.3 points on average. For example, Ireland’s total of 66 individual high scores has come from a pretty spread out selection although the United Kingdom has given them the most, as may be expected. Your email address will not be published. However, there quite some differences between certain countries. Just hover over the small dots on the Balkans and you’ll find them (if they competed in the selected year). The United Kingdom has only suffered nul point in once in the history of ESC (country selected at random), Sweden’s winning streak puts them in second overall place (country selected at random), Dashboard 3: A closer look into Douze Points. Another strand of ESC voting studies point to ‘diaspora voting’, whereby “large numbers of migrants in a country results in a return flow of Eurovision points to their original countries, started to dominate the voting patterns of many western European countries” (Kavanagh, 2010). Statistical analysis unveils the hidden patterns in Eurovision voting. [5] The fact that Albania has received 12 points from Italy the one time Italy could vote for them (the top left circle) is not quite a trend yet. your username. Diaspora in Eurovision terms means the people from a certain country living in another country and voting for their home country. your password And these countries are all culturally very similar, so there will be some overlapping in the voting, e.g. This creates a set highlighting which countries can be perceived to have little regard for each other, be it for political reasons or otherwise. The plot is calculated using a performing country’s average points and the total points given to a specific country by a voter.
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